$500,000 Winter Ice

Game #0615 • MI

$500,000 Winter Ice - Michigan Lottery Scratch-Off Ticket

Image source: Michigan Lottery

Key Statistics

Ticket Price
$5
Top Prize
$500,000
Top Prizes Left
1
Overall Odds
1 in 4.05
Expected ROI
-29.9%
Expected Value
$3.50

Top Prize Status

Original Top Prize
$500,000
Current Top Prize
$500,000
Top Prizes Remaining
1

Top prizes are still available! There are 1 top prize ticket(s) remaining.

Prize Pool Analysis

Total Payout at Launch
$15,396,700
Current Prize Pool
$5,248,085
Payout Percentage
34.1%
Total Prizes at Launch
1,087,488
Total Prizes Remaining
369,932

Ticket Statistics

Total Tickets Printed
4,404,326
Estimated Tickets Remaining
1,498,224
% Tickets Remaining
34.0%

Should You Play $500,000 Winter Ice Right Now?

$500,000 Winter Ice is a $5 scratch-off. The ROI is -29.9%, so this one is best played for entertainment rather than value. Each ticket returns an expected $3.50 in prize value. Only 1 of the original 2 top prizes remains — act fast if you're chasing the big one. Top prize odds are holding steady with a 47.0% change since launch. Among the 37 active $5 games in Michigan, $500,000 Winter Ice ranks #20 by expected value. If you're looking for the best value at this price point, also consider $3,000,000 Payout ($3.74 EV) and Detroit Lions ($3.67 EV).

Alternative Strategy

Instead of buying one $500,000 Winter Ice ($5) ticket, consider buying 2x Blowout Bonanza ($2) + 1x It's Intermission Time! ($1). This combination delivers $3.66 in expected value compared to $3.50 for the single ticket — a 4.5% improvement. It also gives you a 65.3% chance of winning at least one prize versus 24.7% with the single ticket.

Analysis based on current remaining prizes and our ROI model. Updated April 11, 2026.

Prize Breakdown

Prize Amount Total Prizes Remaining Claimed % Left Original Odds Estimated Odds Change
$500,000 2 1 1 50.0% 1 in 2,202,163 1 in 1,498,224 ↑ 47%
$500 15 7 8 46.7% 1 in 293,622 1 in 214,032 ↑ 37%
$100 2,738 810 1,928 29.6% 1 in 1,609 1 in 1,850 ↓ 13%
$50 79,494 24,964 54,530 31.4% 1 in 55 1 in 60 ↓ 8%
$20 141,066 46,464 94,602 32.9% 1 in 31 1 in 32 ↓ 3%
$15 149,900 49,590 100,310 33.1% 1 in 29 1 in 30 ↓ 3%
$10 299,903 100,355 199,548 33.5% 1 in 15 1 in 15 ↓ 2%
$5 414,370 147,741 266,629 35.7% 1 in 11 1 in 10 ↑ 5%

* Original odds based on total tickets printed. Estimated odds calculated from remaining tickets and prizes. Positive change (↑) means better odds now than at launch.

Additional Information

Last Updated: April 11, 2026

Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for informational purposes only and represents our best effort to accurately reflect the current state of lottery games based on publicly available data. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Prize availability, odds, and game details may change without notice. Always verify information with the official Michigan lottery website before making any purchasing decisions. We are not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on this information.